There is an interesting nostalgia book by Gregory Benford
called, 'The
Wonderful Future That Never Was'. The book collects the various
technological and lifestyle predictions made in the magazine 'Popular
Mechanics' between 1903 and 1969. It's notable to read and
see how many of the predictions actually came true in one form or
another. I don't know if some can predict the future or if they are
just lucky at guessing about it.
Predicting even what we will
personally do tomorrow morning is hard for most of us, but predicting
far into the future about things we have little knowledge is extremely
tough. It's sort of an imagination test, I guess. We have to imagine
the future on the limited data we already have and then make a guess.
The book is only about technological predictions. I am not sure if it
is harder to predict future technology or to predict how humans will
use new technology. Hmmmm How many people 50 years ago would have
predicted the invention of cell phones versus how many would have
predicted the awful behavior of most cell users? That's a hard question
to answer, but I suppose human behavior is the most enigmatic thing in
the universe, so I think that in the much more highly mannered era of
50 years ago the rudeness of the cell user would not have been
predicted as often as was the prediction of the technology itself.
You can look below at some of the predictions that were made in those
years and see what years the predictions were made. I wonder if anyone
has compiled a list of social predictions of the future, predictions
about changes in human behavior. And is our behavior better now than it
was between 1903 and 1969 (the years of the technological predictions
of the book)? What are some predictions of the future about our
behavior in society that you think might come to pass 50 years from
now? The only thing I can predict is that the future will always be
unpredictable.
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