I am fed up with the irrational and distorted Ebola
stories. If one
watches media often today he or she would think that civilization is
imperiled by the outbreak in a part of Africa for a weak strain of the
Ebola virus. But wait! Don't let news reports infect your brain with
nonsense. According to the Disease Control and Prevention's National
Center for Health, statistics indicate that the actual risk a person
faces of contracting Ebola, which, like the virus itself, is so tiny,
it's downright microscopic. Here are far more common ways a resident of
the U.S. could die this year.
• Heart disease — A U.S. resident circa 2005
faced a 1-in-5 chance of dying of this in his or her lifetime,
• Cancer — 1-in-7 lifetime odds of dying from this.
• Stroke — 1-in-23
• Accidental injury — 1-in-36
• Motor vehicle accident — 1-in-100
• Assault by firearm — 1-in-325
• Natural forces (heat, cold, storms, earthquakes,
floods, tornadoes, lightning strikes, etc., combined) — 1-in-3,357
• Drowning — 1-in-8,942
• Air travel accident — 1-in-20,000
• Asteroid impact — 1-in-147,717
• Tsunami -1-in-500,000
What about the risk from Ebola? Well, the lifetime odds of dying from
the disease is so small it is hard to compute, but it is far less
likely than a person winning a multi million dollar power ball
lottery. Since Ebola's first outbreak in the 1970s through the one
raging today, according to the World Health Organization, the total
number of deaths attributed to Ebola has been 5000. That's it!
So, if the odds are far more likely to die in a car accident than of
Ebola, H1N1, tsunamis or a natural disaster, why does Ebola seem to
worry so many people so much? Familiarity with an agent of death can be
one factor affecting our perception of risk. With cars, we take so many
trips over our lifetimes that our brains learn not to be afraid of what
might happen in the event of an accident. But the mass hysteria the
media causes by introducing Ebola to us creates an irrational fear in
us. Ebola for many people is new and not something they have personal
experience with, so it's perceived as riskier.
Too, the lack of control over something like Ebola makes us fear it
more.....like the small child terrified of "the monsters hiding
underneath my bed". We don't have any sense of control over Ebola and
the media reports it as being out of control. Logically, people should
think more about the reality of Ebola and realize that Ebola is not
highly contagious, it's being managed carefully, and there're been
epidemics in the past. They've all been controlled, and the same
thing's even more likely to happen now, given modern medical advances.
What the media should say (and not so much because the story just isn't
that newsworthy) about Ebola is what is true. Ebola is hard to catch
and transmit compared to other infections because it requires direct
contact with bodily fluids . In the six months of the 201) outbreak,
there have been 3,431 deaths. That's a very low number for a serious
infectious disease . The influenza pandemic spread by coughing of 1919,
for example, infected 500 million people across the world, killed 50
to 100 million (5 percent of the world's population in a year) .
Maybe instead we should worry about what needs worry, and that
certainly isn't about catching the Ebola virus.
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